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NEWS & ANALYSIS POSTS

Daily Forex Signals & Market Insights: February 15- Intraday Focus

Mixed Economic Indicators: The Forex market is currently processing a range of data releases influencing trader sentiment and currency valuations.


Australian Dollar (AUD) Uncertainty: Employment rates slightly increased while unemployment rates rose to a two-year high in Australia, suggesting potential interest rate reductions and volatility for the AUD.


Japanese Yen (JPY) Recession Concerns: Japan's unexpected dip into recession places focus on the JPY, which is hovering around 150 per dollar, indicating economic challenges and potential central bank policy shifts.


US Dollar (USD) Stability: Despite 'hot' inflation data, USD shows stability in futures trading, with the market adjusting expectations for the Federal Reserve's rate plans.

DXY Dollar Index, A financial chart depicting the with technical indicators including candlesticks, Bollinger Bands, Ichimoku Cloud, and volume bars. The chart also features an RSI indicator below, signalling recent market volatility.
🟢 Dollar Index


Forex Trade Signals

EUR/USD  GBP/USD  USD/JPY  USD/CHF  NZD/USD  AUD/USD USD/CAD  EUR/GBP  


EUR/USD A trading chart displaying the asset with two main indicators. The top panel shows Bollinger Bands overlaid on candlestick price action with a 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Below, two sub-panels present the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), respectively. The RSI is within the neutral range, neither overbought nor oversold. The MACD shows the signal line and the MACD line close together, indicating no strong momentum in either direction. The lower section of the image features a separate price action chart without indicators for comparison.
🟢 EUR/USD

Asset: EUR/USD


Date: 02/15/2024


Pivot Point: 1.0718


Trade Direction: BEARISH


Trade Confidence: Moderate - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering near the 38.69 mark, which indicates bearish momentum, but not yet oversold. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows the MACD line is below the signal line, further supporting bearish sentiment. Price action is below the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating a bearish trend.


Previous Day's Open/Close:

- Open: 1.0712

- Close: 1.0729


Previous Day's Trend Analysis:

The previous day showed a slight uptrend, opening at 1.0712 and closing higher at 1.0729, with a high of 1.0736. However, this movement was within a narrow range, indicating indecision in the market.


Today's Market Trend Analysis:

- Volatility: The Average True Range (ATR) is low at 0.00186, suggesting limited volatility.

- Moving Averages (MA): Price is below key MAs, suggesting a bearish trend.

- Ichimoku Cloud: Price is below the Ichimoku Cloud, confirming bearish bias.

- Relative Strength Index (RSI): RSI is below the 40 level, indicating bearish momentum.

- Bollinger Bands: Price is near the lower Bollinger Band, but not breaking through, indicating a potential pause in the downward trend.

- Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): MACD line is below the signal line, supporting the bearish view.

- Volume Oscillator: There is a significant drop in volume, suggesting a lack of strong buying pressure.


Fundamentals: Traders should watch for the ECB President's speech and US economic data releases, including retail sales and manufacturing indices, which can cause volatility in the EUR/USD pair.


🎯 Profit Targets:

Sell:

1st Target (1st Support): 1.0695

2nd Target (2nd Support): 1.0680

3rd Target (3rd Support): 1.0660


Stop Loss Guidelines:

Sell: Place stop loss above the pivot point, around 1.0730, to minimize potential loss if the market moves against the position.


Suggestion:

Consider initiating a sell trade if the price sustains below the pivot point, targeting the specified support levels, with a stop loss placed to protect the trade against upside risk.


Viewpoint Recap:

The EUR/USD shows a bearish trend with moderate trade confidence. The analysis indicates a bearish momentum, supported by technical indicators such as RSI, MACD, and position relative to the Ichimoku Cloud. Keep an eye on upcoming economic speeches and data releases that might impact volatility and price movement.


GBP/USD currency pair, A financial chart depicting the with technical indicators including candlesticks, Bollinger Bands, Ichimoku Cloud, and volume bars. The chart also features an RSI indicator below, signalling recent market volatility.
🟢 GBP/USD

Asset: GBP/USD


Date: 02/15/2024

Pivot Point: 1.2570


Trade Direction: NEUTRAL


Trade Confidence: Low - The RSI is neutral at 43.67, indicating a lack of momentum, while the MACD is just below the signal line, suggesting a slight bearish bias. However, the proximity to the pivot point and the price being within the Ichimoku Cloud suggest indecision in the market.


Previous Day's Open/Close:

- Open: 1.2594

- Close: 1.2566


Previous Day's Trend Analysis:

The GBP/USD pair showed a tight range of trading the previous day, with an open at 1.2594 and a close at 1.2566. The market did not establish a clear trend as the close was near the open.


Today's Market Trend Analysis:

- Volatility: The ATR is 0.00261, indicating a moderate level of market volatility.

- Moving Averages (MA): Price is currently oscillating around key MAs, suggesting equilibrium between buyers and sellers.

- Ichimoku Cloud: Price within the Ichimoku Cloud confirms the market's indecision.

- Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is neutral, neither overbought nor oversold.

- Bollinger Bands: Price is near the middle Bollinger Band, indicating a lack of strong trend.

- Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): MACD is slightly below the signal line, suggesting a bearish bias but without strong momentum.

- Volume Oscillator: There is a decrease in volume, which often accompanies market indecision.


Fundamentals: The day is packed with key economic announcements, including speeches from central bank officials and data releases on GDP, retail sales, and manufacturing indices, which could bring volatility and potential trading opportunities.


🎯 Profit Targets:

[Buy/Sell]:

Given the current neutral market stance, specific profit targets should be set with caution. Traders might consider using a range strategy, setting targets near resistance and support levels defined by the recent price range.


Stop Loss Guidelines:

[Buy/Sell]: Stop loss orders should be set with consideration of the volatility indicated by the ATR and the potential impact of the upcoming fundamental announcements. It could be prudent to set stop losses just outside the recent price range to avoid market noise.


Suggestion:

With the market showing a neutral stance, it would be advisable to wait for a clearer direction following the fundamental events of the day. A break above or below the pivot point with significant volume could indicate the start of a new trend, at which point traders could consider entering the market with appropriate risk management measures in place.


Viewpoint Recap:

The GBP/USD trading signal for today remains neutral with low confidence, pending further direction from upcoming economic data releases and central bank speeches. The market is currently in a state of balance, and traders should look for a catalyst in the form of fundamental news or a technical breakout for clearer trading opportunities.




USD/JPY Bar chart showing forex and commodities prices, green/red candles depict daily trading trends. Includes moving average, Bollinger bands, and RSI.
🟢 USD/JPY

Asset: USD/JPY


Date: 02/15/2024


Pivot Point: 150.57


Trade Direction: BULLISH


Trade Confidence: Moderate - The RSI is at 58.45, which is relatively high and suggests some bullish momentum. The MACD is above the signal line, reinforcing the bullish trend. However, caution is advised as the RSI is not strongly in the overbought territory.


Previous Day's Open/Close:

- Open: 150.79

- Close: 150.60


Previous Day's Trend Analysis:

The USD/JPY pair opened at 150.79 and closed slightly lower at 150.60, indicating a minor pullback but within a tight range, suggesting consolidation rather than a clear downtrend.


Today's Market Trend Analysis:

- Volatility: The ATR at 0.314 signals moderate volatility in the market.

- Moving Averages (MA): The price is trending above key MAs, supporting the bullish outlook.

- Ichimoku Cloud: The price is above the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating a bullish trend.

- Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is near 60, which is moderately bullish.

- Bollinger Bands: Price is trading closer to the upper Bollinger Band, which aligns with a bullish bias.

- Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): The MACD line is above the signal line, indicating bullish momentum.

- Volume Oscillator: The negative volume oscillator suggests caution, as it could indicate a lack of strong buying pressure.


Fundamentals: Not specified in the data, but traders should consider economic reports and global events that can impact the JPY and USD.


🎯 Profit Targets:

Buy:

1st Target (1st Resistance): 151.00

2nd Target (2nd Resistance): 151.30

3rd Target (3rd Resistance): 151.50


Stop Loss Guidelines:

Buy: Place stop loss below the pivot point, around 150.35, to minimize potential loss if the market moves against the position.


Suggestion:

Based on the bullish indicators, consider initiating a buy trade if the price sustains above the pivot point, targeting the specified resistance levels, with a stop loss set below the pivot to protect against downside risk.


Viewpoint Recap:

The USD/JPY trading signal is moderately bullish based on technical indicators like RSI and MACD, as well as the price position above the Ichimoku Cloud. However, the negative volume oscillator warrants some caution, and traders should watch for continued momentum and potential fundamental catalysts before entering a position.


USD/CHF Bar chart showing forex and commodities prices, green/red candles depict daily trading trends. Includes moving average, Bollinger bands, and RSI.
🟢 USD/CHF

Asset: USD/CHF


Date: 02/15/2024


Pivot Point: 0.8864


Trade Direction: BULLISH


Trade Confidence: High - The RSI at 66.47 is leaning towards overbought territory, suggesting strong bullish momentum. The MACD above the signal line further supports the upward trend. Price position above the Ichimoku Cloud also indicates a bullish sentiment.


Previous Day's Open/Close:

- Open: 0.8872

- Close: 0.8858


Previous Day's Trend Analysis:

The USD/CHF pair opened at 0.8872 and closed slightly lower at 0.8858. Despite the small downtick at the close, the overall trend appears to be bullish as indicated by other technicals.


Today's Market Trend Analysis:

- Volatility: The ATR at 0.00205 indicates moderate volatility.

- Moving Averages (MA): The price is above the key MAs, suggesting a bullish trend continuation.

- Ichimoku Cloud: The price is above the Ichimoku Cloud, confirming the bullish market environment.

- Relative Strength Index (RSI): RSI above 60 indicates strong buying pressure.

- Bollinger Bands: Price is trending towards the upper Bollinger Band, consistent with a bullish trend.

- Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): The MACD line is above the signal line and histogram is positive, indicating bullish momentum.

- Volume Oscillator: A negative volume oscillator warrants some caution, as it may indicate a potential reversal or a decrease in buying interest.


Fundamentals: Not specified, but always be aware of major economic news or events that could affect the market.


🎯 Profit Targets:

Buy:

1st Target (1st Resistance): 0.8880

2nd Target (2nd Resistance): 0.8900

3rd Target (3rd Resistance): 0.8920


Stop Loss Guidelines:

Buy: Place stop loss below the pivot point, around 0.8850, to protect against any potential reversal in the trend.


Suggestion:

Given the bullish indicators, initiating a buy trade with the price holding above the pivot point could be considered. Targets should be set at key resistance levels with a stop loss to manage risk effectively.


Viewpoint Recap:

USD/CHF is exhibiting a bullish trend with high trade confidence based on technical indicators. The market is showing signs of continued bullish behavior, with the RSI, MACD, and Ichimoku Cloud all suggesting an upward movement. It is recommended to monitor the trade closely for any signs of reversal, especially considering the negative volume oscillator.


NZD/USD  currency pair, A financial chart depicting the with technical indicators including candlesticks, Bollinger Bands, Ichimoku Cloud, and volume bars. The chart also features an RSI indicator below, signalling recent market volatility.
🟢 NZD/USD

Asset: NZD/USD


Date: 02/15/2024


Pivot Point: 0.6077


Trade Direction: BEARISH


Trade Confidence: Moderate - The RSI is around 47, indicating a slight bearish momentum as it is below the neutral 50 mark. The MACD is below the signal line, which supports a bearish outlook. However, the RSI is not showing strong bearish momentum, so caution is advised.


Previous Day's Open/Close:

- Open: 0.6057

- Close: 0.6087


Previous Day's Trend Analysis:

The NZD/USD opened at 0.6057 and closed higher at 0.6087, showing some bullishness on the previous day, but the overall trend on the 4-hour chart suggests a potential reversal or consolidation.


Today's Market Trend Analysis:

- Volatility: The ATR is 0.00171, suggesting low volatility in the market.

- Moving Averages (MA): Price is currently hovering around key MAs, indicating potential indecision.

- Ichimoku Cloud: The price is in the Ichimoku Cloud, further suggesting a lack of clear direction.

- Relative Strength Index (RSI): RSI is just below 50, slightly favoring the bears.

- Bollinger Bands: The price is between the middle and lower Bollinger Bands, which could indicate a bearish bias.

- Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): The MACD line is below the signal line, confirming bearish momentum.

- Volume Oscillator: The negative volume oscillator suggests that selling pressure may be present.


Fundamentals: Several economic events are scheduled which can affect market volatility, including speeches by central bank governors and releases of economic data like unemployment rates, GDP figures, retail sales, and manufacturing indices.


🎯 Profit Targets:

Sell:

1st Target (1st Support): 0.6060

2nd Target (2nd Support): 0.6040

3rd Target (3rd Support): 0.6020


Stop Loss Guidelines:

Sell: Place stop loss above the pivot point, around 0.6090, to minimize potential loss if the market moves against the position.

Suggestion:

Considering the bearish indicators, a sell trade could be initiated if the price moves below the pivot point, targeting the specified support levels. A stop loss should be set above the pivot to protect the trade. Monitor the economic announcements closely as they may cause significant price fluctuations.


Viewpoint Recap:

The NZD/USD signal is moderately bearish based on technical indicators, but the upcoming economic announcements could bring volatility, so positions should be managed carefully with an eye on the news for any sudden market moves.


AUD/USD  currency pair, A financial chart depicting the with technical indicators including candlesticks, Bollinger Bands, Ichimoku Cloud, and volume bars. The chart also features an RSI indicator below, signalling recent market volatility.
🟢 AUD/USD

Asset: AUD/USD


Date: 02/15/2024


Pivot Point: 0.6477


Trade Direction: BEARISH


Trade Confidence: Moderate - The RSI is below the 50 level, indicating bearish momentum, but not strongly oversold. The MACD line is below the signal line, which supports a bearish outlook, though the histogram is quite flat, suggesting a lack of strong momentum.


Previous Day's Open/Close:

- Open: 0.6455

- Close: 0.6491


Previous Day's Trend Analysis:

The AUD/USD pair showed a slight bullish trend on the previous day, opening at 0.6455 and closing higher at 0.6491. However, the overall 4-hour chart analysis indicates that the market is leaning bearish.


Today's Market Trend Analysis:

- Volatility: The ATR is at 0.00177, showing low volatility.

- Moving Averages (MA): The price is around the MAs, indicating possible indecision.

- Ichimoku Cloud: The price is near the Ichimoku Cloud, suggesting the potential for a trend change or consolidation.

- Relative Strength Index (RSI): RSI is below 50, suggesting bearish momentum.

- Bollinger Bands: The price is moving towards the lower Bollinger Band, indicating bearish potential.

- Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): The MACD line is under the signal line, supporting a bearish trend.

- Volume Oscillator: Negative volume oscillator indicates stronger selling pressure.


Fundamentals: Economic events such as speeches by central bank officials, GDP data, retail sales, and manufacturing indices could impact market volatility and should be monitored closely.

🎯 Profit Targets:


Sell:

1st Target (1st Support): 0.6460

2nd Target (2nd Support): 0.6440

3rd Target (3rd Support): 0.6420


Stop Loss Guidelines:

Sell: Place stop loss above the pivot point, around 0.6490, to limit potential loss if the market reverses.


Suggestion:

Considering the bearish indicators, initiating a sell trade if the price falls below the pivot point could be considered, targeting the specified support levels. A stop loss should be placed above the pivot to manage risk. Traders should pay attention to the economic calendar as the events listed could significantly influence the AUD/USD price action.


Viewpoint Recap:

The AUD/USD trading signal is moderately bearish based on the technical analysis, with a close watch on fundamental news that may impact the currency pair. The market shows signs of potential downward movement, but given the current economic events, positions should be managed with care to account for increased volatility.


USD/CAD   currency pair, A financial chart depicting the with technical indicators including candlesticks, Bollinger Bands, Ichimoku Cloud, and volume bars. The chart also features an RSI indicator below, signalling recent market volatility.
🟢 USDCAD

Asset: USD/CAD


Date: 02/15/2024


Pivot Point: 1.3548


Trade Direction: BULLISH


Trade Confidence: Moderate - The RSI is above the mid-level at around 60, indicating bullish momentum, and the MACD is above the signal line, which also suggests upward momentum. However, the trade confidence is not high due to the lack of strong volume and the ATR indicating low volatility.


Previous Day's Open/Close:

- Open: 1.3567

- Close: 1.3545


Previous Day's Trend Analysis:

The USD/CAD pair opened at 1.3567 and closed slightly lower at 1.3545. Despite the small decline, the overall trend in the 4-hour chart suggests a bullish bias.


Today's Market Trend Analysis:

- Volatility: The ATR at 0.00214 suggests low volatility, which may limit the range of price movement.

- Moving Averages (MA): Price is above key MAs, supporting the bullish trend.

- Ichimoku Cloud: Price is above the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating a bullish trend.

- Relative Strength Index (RSI): RSI above 60 suggests bullish momentum.

- Bollinger Bands: Price is near the upper Bollinger Band, which may indicate an overextended market, but still within a bullish context.

- Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): The MACD line is above the signal line, showing bullish momentum.

- Volume Oscillator: Negative volume oscillator could indicate a lack of strong buying pressure, which might limit the upside.


Fundamentals: The economic calendar should be monitored closely, with several high-impact news releases that could affect the USD/CAD pair, including central bank speeches, employment data, and retail sales.


🎯 Profit Targets:

Buy:

1st Target (1st Resistance): 1.3560

2nd Target (2nd Resistance): 1.3580

3rd Target (3rd Resistance): 1.3600


Stop Loss Guidelines:

Buy: Place stop loss below the pivot point, around 1.3530, to protect the trade against the downside risk.


Suggestion:

Given the moderate bullish signal, consider entering a buy trade if the price maintains above the pivot point, aiming for the specified resistance levels. The stop loss should be set below the pivot point to manage risk. Stay updated on the fundamental news as it may significantly impact the pair and cause sudden shifts in market sentiment.


Viewpoint Recap:

The USD/CAD is showing moderate bullish signals on the technical front. The price position above the Ichimoku Cloud and the RSI above 60 support this view. However, traders should exercise caution due to the low volatility and keep an eye on the upcoming fundamental events which may alter the current market scenario.


EUR/GBP,  currency pair, A financial chart depicting the with technical indicators including candlesticks, Bollinger Bands, Ichimoku Cloud, and volume bars. The chart also features an RSI indicator below, signalling recent market volatility.
EUR/GBP

Asset: EUR/GBP


Date: 02/15/2024


Pivot Point: 0.8528


Trade Direction: BULLISH


Trade Confidence: Moderate - The RSI is just above the midpoint at around 54, which indicates a slight bullish momentum. The MACD is above the signal line, suggesting a bullish trend, although it's quite close, indicating a potential for reversal or weakening of the trend.


Previous Day's Open/Close:

- Open: 0.8505

- Close: 0.8538


Previous Day's Trend Analysis:

The EUR/GBP pair opened at 0.8505 and closed higher at 0.8538, which indicates a bullish trend for the previous day.


Today's Market Trend Analysis:

- Volatility: The ATR at 0.00116 indicates low volatility, which suggests that significant price moves may not be expected.

- Moving Averages (MA): The price is above the key moving averages, indicating a bullish trend.

- Ichimoku Cloud: The price is above the Ichimoku Cloud, suggesting bullish momentum.

- Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is moderately above 50, suggesting some buying pressure.

- Bollinger Bands: The price is near the upper Bollinger Band, indicating the market is in a higher range but not overbought.

- Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): The MACD line is above the signal line, supporting the bullish trend.

- Volume Oscillator: The negative volume oscillator suggests there may be some caution from buyers.


Fundamentals: The market is facing a day filled with economic events including several central bank speeches and data releases that could affect the currency pair. These events may cause increased volatility in the EUR/GBP pair.


🎯 Profit Targets:

Buy:

1st Target (1st Resistance): 0.8550

2nd Target (2nd Resistance): 0.8570

3rd Target (3rd Resistance): 0.8590


Stop Loss Guidelines:

Buy: Place stop loss below the pivot point, around 0.8510, to protect the trade against the downside risk.


Suggestion:

Given the moderate bullish indicators, a buy position could be considered if the price sustains above the pivot point, with targets set at the resistance levels mentioned. The stop loss should be placed below the pivot to manage the risk. It is crucial to monitor the economic news closely as it can influence market sentiment and price action significantly.


Viewpoint Recap:

The EUR/GBP trading signal is moderately bullish based on the current technical analysis. However, with low volatility indicated by the ATR and several key economic reports due, traders should stay alert to news that could affect market conditions and adjust their strategies accordingly.


 

Disclaimer: These Forex Trade Signals are based on the current charts and market conditions. Always conduct your own analysis and consider risk management strategies before entering any trade. Markets are dynamic, and conditions can change rapidly.


As with all investments, your capital is at risk. Investments can fall and rise and you may get back less than you invested.


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