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NEWS & ANALYSIS POSTS

Daily Forex Signals & Market Insights: Jan 19 - Intraday Focus

Yen's Position:

   - Current Rate: 148.26 per dollar.

   - Weekly Change: 2.2% decline.

   - Context: Lowest level since early December.


Nasdaq Futures:

   - Increase: Notable upward movement.

   - Trigger: Gains in tech stocks, especially TSMC.


Federal Reserve Rate Cut Expectations:

   - Previous Bets: High likelihood of a March rate cut.

   - Current View: Significantly reduced expectations.


US Financial Market:

   - Treasury and Dollar: Slight decrease after recent reevaluation of Fed policies.

   - Bank of Japan Policy: Maintaining negative rate due to decelerating inflation.


S&P 500 Status:

   - Position: Close to its record high set two years ago.

   - Goldman Sachs Outlook: Favours a long risk, short volatility approach.


Commodities Update:

   - Oil: Steady after recent high.

   - Gold: Heading towards a weekly loss.


Currency Watch:

    - Euro, Australian Dollar, Offshore Yuan: Little to no significant movement.


Upcoming Key Economic Events:

    - US Consumer Sentiment and Existing Home Sales.

    - Canadian Retail Sales.

    - ECB and IMF Discussions in Davos.



DXY Dollar Index, A financial chart depicting the with technical indicators including candlesticks, Bollinger Bands, Ichimoku Cloud, and volume bars. The chart also features an RSI indicator below, signalling recent market volatility.
Dollar Index

Forex Trade Signals


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Gold, XAU/USDUSD/CAD currency pair, A financial chart depicting the with technical indicators including candlesticks, Bollinger Bands, Ichimoku Cloud, and volume bars. The chart also features an RSI indicator below, signalling recent market volatility.
🟢 XAU/USD (Gold) Daily Chart

Intraday Forex Signal for XAUUSD – January 19, 2024


Pair: XAUUSD

Pivot Point: 2017.80


Market Trend Analysis:


- Bollinger Bands: The recent price movement of XAUUSD is hugging the lower Bollinger Band, implying a persistent bearish trend.


- Moving Averages: Gold is lingering below the pivot point and has breached a crucial moving average in a downward direction, suggesting sustained bearish momentum.


- RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is hovering near the midpoint, indicating a balance in the current selling and buying pressures. This may represent a pause in the bearish momentum.

Ichimoku Analysis:


- The Ichimoku Cloud is currently mixed with the price within the cloud. The conversion line and baseline need to be observed for potential crossovers to confirm the trend direction.


Trade Direction: BEARISH


Emphasis Trade Probability: Around 60% considering the current trend and technical indicators.

🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:


- Sell:

- 1st Target (1st Support): 2011.41

- 2nd Target (2nd Support): 1999.11

- 3rd Target (3rd Support): 1992.72


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines:

- Sell: Position the stop loss a little above the pivot point at approximately 2020.10 to protect against unexpected reversals.


Suggestion: The indicators point to a bearish trend for XAUUSD. Traders may consider initiating a short position, aiming for the first target at 2011.41, with further targets at 1999.11 and 1992.72. Implement a stop loss at 2020.10 to minimize potential losses.


Yesterday's Trend: The market for XAUUSD displayed a bearish trend with a decline.


Volatility: The volatility appears to be contracting, as suggested by the narrowing Bollinger Bands, which might indicate that a strong trend is yet to establish.


WTI, Crude oil, Bar chart showing forex and commodities prices, green/red candles depict daily trading trends. Includes moving average, Bollinger bands, and RSI.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil.

Intraday Forex Signal for WTI – January 19, 2024


Pair: WTI


Pivot Point: 73.69


Market Trend Analysis:


  • Bollinger Bands: WTI prices have been oscillating around the middle Bollinger Band without a clear break on either side, suggesting a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment.

  • Moving Averages: WTI is currently trading around the pivot point, with the price action flirting around a critical moving average, indicating a potential tipping point for direction.

  • RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is trending upwards, though still below the overbought threshold, which may indicate building bullish momentum if sustained.


Ichimoku Analysis:

  • The price is currently near the cloud, and while the conversion line's position is not clearly stated, if above the baseline, it could suggest bearish sentiment; however, this needs confirmation from the cloud's future projection.


Trade Direction: NEUTRAL to BEARISH


Emphasis Trade Probability: Approximately 55% given the mixed signals from the technical indicators.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

  • Sell:

  • 1st Target (1st Support): 73.00

  • 2nd Target (2nd Support): 71.92

  • 3rd Target (3rd Support): 71.23


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines:

  • Sell: Place the stop loss slightly above the 1st Resistance level at 74.80, allowing room for normal price fluctuation while still protecting from a larger upward movement.


Suggestion: The indicators are not decisively bearish but lean towards a potential downward move for WTI. Traders might consider a cautious short position, targeting the first support level at 73.00, with subsequent targets at 71.92 and 71.23. A stop loss at 74.80 would be prudent to manage risk effectively.


Yesterday's Trend: The trend for WTI was relatively flat with no significant moves in either direction, suggesting indecision in the market.


Volatility: The market volatility for WTI appears moderate, with Bollinger Bands indicating a balanced market environment without extreme fluctuations.


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EUR/USD Bar chart showing forex and commodities prices, green/red candles depict daily trading trends. Includes moving average, Bollinger bands, and RSI.
🟢 EUR/USD

Intraday Forex Signal for EURUSD – January 19, 2024


Pair: EURUSD


Pivot Point: 1.088


Market Trend Analysis:


  • Bollinger Bands: The EURUSD is currently trading around the middle Bollinger Band. The bands are moderately wide, suggesting that there is room for movement on either side.

  • Moving Averages: The pair is trading near the pivot point, which indicates a neutral position relative to the moving average. This shows potential for a shift in momentum.

  • RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is just above the midline, pointing to a slight bullish momentum. However, it is not in the overbought territory, which leaves space for potential upward movement.


Ichimoku Analysis:

  • The proximity of the price to the Ichimoku cloud suggests a balancing act between the bulls and the bears. The conversion line and baseline positions would provide further insight.


Trade Direction: NEUTRAL to SLIGHTLY BULLISH


Emphasis Trade Probability: Approximately 55-60% based on the current readings of the technical indicators, suggesting slight bullish potential.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

  • Buy:

  • 1st Target (1st Resistance): 1.091

  • 2nd Target (2nd Resistance): 1.094

  • 3rd Target (3rd Resistance): 1.097


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines:

  • Buy: A stop loss can be placed just below the 1st Support level at around 1.084 to limit potential downside risk.


Suggestion: Considering the technical indicators' current state, traders may look to take a cautious long position, aiming for the first resistance level at 1.091, with subsequent targets at 1.094 and 1.097. A stop loss just below the first support level would be a conservative risk management approach.


Yesterday's Trend: The EURUSD showed a slight bullish trend with an upward inclination.


Volatility: The market volatility for EURUSD is currently moderate, which suggests that there might be opportunities for price movements within the range defined by the Bollinger Bands.


GBP/USD currency pair, A financial chart depicting the with technical indicators including candlesticks, Bollinger Bands, Ichimoku Cloud, and volume bars. The chart also features an RSI indicator below, signalling recent market volatility.
🟢 GBP/USD

Intraday Forex Signal for GBPUSD – January 19, 2024


Pair: GBPUSD


Pivot Point: 1.269


Market Trend Analysis:


  • Bollinger Bands: GBPUSD is trading just above the middle Bollinger Band, suggesting a slight bullish bias. The bands are not too wide, indicating moderate market volatility.


  • Moving Averages: The pair is currently above the pivot point and close to a key moving average, which could suggest a potential for an upward trend continuation if it maintains this level.


  • RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is trending towards the middle, signifying a balance in the market without clear overbought or oversold conditions.


Ichimoku Analysis:

  • Given the price is near the middle of the cloud, there is some uncertainty in the market. The next move could be indicated by the relationship between the conversion line and the baseline, which is not clearly visible here.


Trade Direction: NEUTRAL to SLIGHTLY BULLISH


Emphasis Trade Probability: Approximately 55-60%, reflecting a slight bullish inclination based on the current market indicators.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

  • Buy:

  • 1st Target (1st Resistance): 1.273

  • 2nd Target (2nd Resistance): 1.275

  • 3rd Target (3rd Resistance): 1.279


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines:

  • Buy: A stop loss should be considered just below the pivot point, around 1.267, to protect against any sudden bearish reversals.


Suggestion: The current market signals point to a modest bullish outlook for GBPUSD. Traders may consider a long position, targeting the first resistance level at 1.273, and could set a stop loss at 1.267 for risk management. The subsequent targets can be placed at 1.275 and 1.279 respectively, but remain vigilant for any shifts in market sentiment that could affect trade direction.


Yesterday's Trend: The GBPUSD pair showed a consolidation with a slight bullish trend, indicating an indecisive market.


Volatility: The market's volatility is currently steady, with room for the price to move within the Bollinger Band range.


USD/JPY Bar chart showing forex and commodities prices, green/red candles depict daily trading trends. Includes moving average, Bollinger bands, and RSI.
🟢 USD/JPY

Intraday Forex Signal for USDJPY – January 19, 2024


Pair: USDJPY


Pivot Point: 148.040


Market Trend Analysis:


  • Bollinger Bands: The USDJPY pair is trading near the upper Bollinger Band, indicating a bullish trend. The band's width suggests moderate volatility in the market.

  • Moving Averages: The pair is positioned above the pivot point, which often signals bullish momentum. It has not dipped towards the moving average, reinforcing this trend.

  • RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is ascending towards the overbought region, which can be a sign of strengthening bullish sentiment. However, traders should be cautious of potential pullbacks if it crosses into overbought territory.


Ichimoku Analysis:

  • The chart does not provide a clear view of the Ichimoku Cloud. However, if the price is above the cloud, it generally indicates a bullish market sentiment.


Trade Direction: BULLISH


Emphasis Trade Probability: Approximately 65%, given the positive momentum indicated by the Bollinger Bands and the RSI.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

  • Buy:

  • 1st Target (1st Resistance): 148.420

  • 2nd Target (2nd Resistance): 148.680

  • 3rd Target (3rd Resistance): 149.060


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines:

  • Buy: The stop loss should be set below the first support level, around 147.780, to safeguard against downward movements.


Suggestion: The technical indicators suggest a bullish trend, so traders might consider a long position with the first target at 148.420. It's advisable to set a stop loss at 147.780 to manage risks. Should the bullish momentum continue, the subsequent targets at 148.680 and 149.060 could be aimed for.


Yesterday's Trend: The USDJPY pair exhibited an upward trend, reinforcing today's bullish outlook.


Volatility: The current market volatility is providing ample room for the price to test upper resistance levels, which aligns with the bullish trade direction suggested by the indicators.


USD/CHF Bar chart showing forex and commodities prices, green/red candles depict daily trading trends. Includes moving average, Bollinger bands, and RSI.
🟢 USD/CHF


Intraday Forex Signal for USDCHF – January 19, 2024


Pair: USDCHF


Pivot Point: 0.867


Market Trend Analysis:


  • Bollinger Bands: USDCHF is currently testing the upper Bollinger Band, signaling a bullish trend. The bands are moderately apart, suggesting some room for volatility.

  • Moving Averages: The currency pair is trading above the pivot point, indicating bullish momentum. A consistent hold above the pivot could reinforce this trend.

  • RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is approaching the overbought territory, reflecting strong buying pressure. Traders should watch for any signs of a reversal as the market may become overextended.


Ichimoku Analysis:

  • Without a clear view of the Ichimoku elements, a precise analysis can't be provided. Typically, if the price is above the cloud, it would indicate bullish sentiment.


Trade Direction: BULLISH


Emphasis Trade Probability: Approximately 65%, taking into account the bullish signals from the


Bollinger Bands and the RSI.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

  • Buy:

  • 1st Target (1st Resistance): 0.871

  • 2nd Target (2nd Resistance): 0.873

  • 3rd Target (3rd Resistance): 0.877


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines:

  • Buy: A stop loss should be placed just below the 1st Support level at 0.864 to minimize risk.


Suggestion: Based on the bullish indicators, traders may consider taking a long position with the first target at 0.871. The stop loss at 0.864 provides a safety net against potential downward movements. If the price continues to ascend, the second and third resistance levels at 0.873 and 0.877, respectively, could serve as subsequent profit targets.


Yesterday's Trend: The USDCHF pair showed an upward momentum, reinforcing the bullish perspective for today's session.


Volatility: The current level of volatility is moderate, with price movements likely to stay within the upper range of the Bollinger Bands, aligning with the bullish sentiment.


NZD/USD  currency pair, A financial chart depicting the with technical indicators including candlesticks, Bollinger Bands, Ichimoku Cloud, and volume bars. The chart also features an RSI indicator below, signalling recent market volatility.
🟢 NZD/USD

Intraday Forex Signal for NZDUSD – January 19, 2024


Pair: NZDUSD


Pivot Point: 0.6116


Market Trend Analysis:


  • Bollinger Bands: The NZDUSD is trading near the lower Bollinger Band, which typically indicates a bearish trend. The bands show moderate width, suggesting reasonable levels of market volatility.


  • Moving Averages: The currency pair is trading below the pivot point, which often signals bearish momentum. A consistent hold below the pivot could intensify this trend.


  • RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is trending towards the oversold region, reflecting strong selling pressure. This could point to a potential oversold market condition or an impending price correction.


Ichimoku Analysis:

  • Without a clear view of the Ichimoku elements, a precise analysis can't be provided. Typically, if the price is below the cloud, it would indicate bearish sentiment.


Trade Direction: BEARISH


Emphasis Trade Probability: Approximately 60%, considering the proximity to the lower Bollinger Band and the RSI nearing oversold conditions.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

  • Sell:

  • 1st Target (1st Support): 0.6094

  • 2nd Target (2nd Support): 0.6073

  • 3rd Target (3rd Support): 0.6051


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines:

  • Sell: A stop loss should be placed just above the 1st Resistance level at 0.6137 to minimize risk.


Suggestion: The bearish indicators suggest considering a short position with the first target at 0.6094. It's advisable to set a stop loss at 0.6137 to manage risks. If the bearish momentum continues, the second and third support levels at 0.6073 and 0.6051, respectively, could serve as subsequent targets for taking profits.


Yesterday's Trend: The NZDUSD pair showed a decline, reinforcing the bearish outlook for today's trading session.


Volatility: The current market volatility is suggesting that there might be further downside potential, aligning with the bearish sentiment indicated by the technical analysis.


AUD/USD  currency pair, A financial chart depicting the with technical indicators including candlesticks, Bollinger Bands, Ichimoku Cloud, and volume bars. The chart also features an RSI indicator below, signalling recent market volatility.
🟢 AUD/USD

Intraday Forex Signal for AUDUSD – January 18, 2024


Pair: AUDUSD


Pivot Point: 0.6558


Market Trend Analysis:


  • Bollinger Bands: AUDUSD is trading near the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting potential overselling and a possible bullish reversal if it rebounds.

  • Moving Averages: The pair has fallen below its moving averages, indicating bearish momentum in the short term.

  • RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is nearing oversold territory, which could signal an upcoming reversal or slowdown in the bearish momentum.


Ichimoku Analysis:

  • The pair is below the Ichimoku cloud, reinforcing the bearish sentiment, but any upward movement through the cloud could signal a change in trend.


Trade Direction: BEARISH to NEUTRAL


Emphasis Trade Probability: Approximately 55% given the proximity to the oversold condition on the RSI, suggesting a potential for reversal despite the current bearish trend.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

  • Sell:

  • 1st Target (1st Support): 0.6519

  • 2nd Target (2nd Support): 0.6487

  • 3rd Target (3rd Support): 0.6448


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines:

  • Sell: If going short, set the stop loss just above the 1st Resistance level at 0.6590.


Suggestion: Traders could consider a short position with caution, setting targets at 0.6519, 0.6487, and 0.6448, while placing a stop loss at 0.6590 to manage risk. The approach to oversold territory suggests monitoring the trade closely for signs of reversal.


Yesterday's Trend: The AUDUSD was on a downtrend, which may continue unless a reversal signal is confirmed.


Volatility: There is increased volatility as indicated by the RSI approaching oversold levels, which could lead to sharper price movements.


USD/CAD   currency pair, A financial chart depicting the with technical indicators including candlesticks, Bollinger Bands, Ichimoku Cloud, and volume bars. The chart also features an RSI indicator below, signalling recent market volatility.
🟢 USDCAD

Intraday Forex Signal for USDCAD – January 19, 2024


Pair: USDCAD


Pivot Point: 1.3500


Market Trend Analysis:


  • Bollinger Bands: The USDCAD is trading near the upper Bollinger Band, suggesting a bullish trend. The bands are moderately wide, pointing to a certain level of market volatility.


  • Moving Averages: The pair is trading just above the pivot point, indicating a potential for further bullish momentum.

  • RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is above the midpoint and trending upwards, which is a sign of increasing buying pressure and bullish momentum.


Ichimoku Analysis:

  • The chart does not provide a clear view of the Ichimoku elements, but typically, if the price is above the cloud, it would indicate bullish sentiment.


Trade Direction: BULLISH


Emphasis Trade Probability: Approximately 65%, given the current position above the pivot point and the bullish signals from the Bollinger Bands and RSI.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

  • Buy:

  • 1st Target (1st Resistance): 1.3524

  • 2nd Target (2nd Resistance): 1.3558

  • 3rd Target (3rd Resistance): 1.3582


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines:

  • Buy: A stop loss should be placed just below the 1st Support level at 1.3466 to protect against a potential bearish reversal.


Suggestion: Considering the bullish indicators, traders might look to take a long position with the first target at 1.3524. A stop loss at 1.3466 is recommended for risk management. Should the bullish trend persist, the second and third targets at 1.3558 and 1.3582, respectively, offer additional profit-taking opportunities.


Yesterday's Trend: The USDCAD pair was trending upward, supporting the bullish outlook for today.


Volatility: The market volatility is providing enough room for the price to potentially explore the upper resistance levels, in line with the bullish trend indicated by the technical analysis.


EUR/GBP,  currency pair, A financial chart depicting the with technical indicators including candlesticks, Bollinger Bands, Ichimoku Cloud, and volume bars. The chart also features an RSI indicator below, signalling recent market volatility.
EUR/GBP

Intraday Forex Signal for EURGBP – January 19, 2024


Pair: EURGBP


Pivot Point: 0.857



Market Trend Analysis:


  • Bollinger Bands: The EURGBP is currently hovering around the middle Bollinger Band, indicating a neutral market sentiment. The bands are not particularly tight, suggesting a moderate level of volatility.

  • Moving Averages: The pair is trading near the pivot point. This proximity to the pivot point suggests a potential for the market to swing in either direction.

  • RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is around the mid-level, neither overbought nor oversold, which supports the neutral market trend indicated by the Bollinger Bands.


Ichimoku Analysis:

  • The Ichimoku Cloud elements are not visible in the provided chart, making it difficult to assess the trend strength and direction using this indicator.


Trade Direction: NEUTRAL


Emphasis Trade Probability: Approximately 50%, given the current position around the pivot point and the lack of clear direction from the Bollinger Bands and RSI.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

  • Due to the neutral sentiment, specific targets for taking profits are not clearly defined. Traders may look to set their targets just outside the range of the Bollinger Bands for both buying and selling positions, adjusting as the market provides more direction.


❌ Stop Loss Guidelines:

  • Stop loss levels should be set just outside the first support and resistance levels, at 0.855 for buy positions and 0.859 for sell positions, to protect against market swings in either direction.


Suggestion: In such neutral market conditions, traders should exercise caution and consider employing tight stop losses and conservative targets. Monitoring the pair for a breakout above or below the pivot point could provide clearer directional signals.


Yesterday's Trend: The EURGBP pair showed no strong directional movement, which aligns with the current neutral sentiment.


Volatility: The market's moderate volatility suggests that the price may fluctuate within the range defined by the Bollinger Bands without a strong breakout in the immediate term.


 

Disclaimer: These Forex Trade Signals are based on the current charts and market conditions. Always conduct your own analysis and consider risk management strategies before entering any trade. Markets are dynamic, and conditions can change rapidly.


As with all investments, your capital is at risk. Investments can fall and rise and you may get back less than you invested.



The information provided does not constitute, in any way, a solicitation or inducement to buy or sell securities and similar products.


Forex signals, comments and analysis reflect the views of www.champprofit.com at any given time and are subject to change at any time. ©2024 by Champ Profit.


Without Knowledge, Prepare for Failure!



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