Oil Trade Signals:
- Supported by geopolitical tensions and supply concerns
- ANZ 3-month price target for Brent: $95/barrel
- 4% weekly gain due to geopolitical events and supply restrictions
- Potential further output fall in Q2 due to OPEC+ compliance
- Expected drawdown in inventories
- Heavy oil supply tightens globally
Gold Trade Signals:
- Recent record highs, now facing profit-taking
- RSI indicates gold is overbought
- Dollar recovery and Fed comments influence gold
- Safe haven demand remains due to Middle East tensions
- Precious metals, including platinum and silver, also retreat
- Key U.S. labour data and inflation data upcoming.
Gold & Oil Trading Signals
  XAU/USD (Gold)  WTI (CL-Oil) BRENT CRUDE (UKOUSD) Â
Trading Signal for Gold (XAU/USD)
Trade Direction: Sell
Entry Point: $2,279
Take Profit: TP1: $2,270, TP2: $2,260
Stop Loss: $2,295 (above the daily pivot and psychological level)
Confidence Level: Moderate
Indicator Analysis:
Bollinger Bands: Price is near the middle band suggesting the possibility for movement in either direction. The upper band has been tested recently indicating resistance.
Ichimoku Cloud: Price is below the cloud, showing bearish momentum.
ATR: Elevated ATR indicates increased volatility, which may allow for significant price movements.
MACD: The MACD line is below the signal line but close, suggesting caution as a potential reversal could occur.
RSI: The RSI suggests the market is neither overbought nor oversold, but the recent peak above 70 indicates the previous overbought condition could lead to a pullback.
Fundamental Analysis Insight:
With the price below the pivot and recent profit-taking after record highs, gold's short-term outlook appears bearish. However, the underlying demand for gold as a safe haven amid geopolitical tensions and the upcoming US labour and inflation data could quickly change the market sentiment, thus calling for moderate confidence.
Trading Signal for WTI Crude (WTI/USD)
Trade Direction: Buy
Entry Point: $86.90
Take Profit: TP1: $87.50, TP2: $88.00
Stop Loss: $85.90 (just below the daily pivot and psychological support)
Confidence Level: Moderate
Indicator Analysis:
Bollinger Bands: The price is approaching the upper band, suggesting the uptrend could persist, but caution is warranted as the price may also be reaching overbought territory.
Ichimoku Cloud: Price is above the cloud, indicating bullish momentum.
ATR: Elevated ATR points to increased market volatility, potentially leading to larger price swings.
MACD: The MACD line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive, aligning with the bullish trend.
RSI: At over 70, the RSI is in overbought territory, which suggests the market might be due for a correction or consolidation.
Fundamental Analysis Insight:
Oil prices are currently being supported by geopolitical tensions and supply concerns, which may keep the bullish trend intact in the short term. The market's anticipation of a further output fall in Q2 due to OPEC+ compliance, expected drawdown in inventories, and global tightening of heavy oil supply also support the bullish scenario. However, the high RSI indicates that traders should be cautious of potential reversals due to overbought conditions.
Trading Signal for Brent Crude (UKO/USD)
Trade Direction: Buy
Entry Point: $91.51
Take Profit: TP1: $92.00, TP2: $92.50
Stop Loss: $89.75 (below the daily pivot and a previous support zone)
Confidence Level: Moderate to High
Indicator Analysis:
Bollinger Bands: The price is currently near the upper band, indicating bullish momentum and the possibility of further upwards movement.
Ichimoku Cloud: Price is well above the cloud, supporting the continuation of the bullish trend.
ATR: The ATR is relatively high, pointing towards continued market volatility and the potential for substantial price movements.
MACD: The MACD line is above the signal line and the histogram is positive, which aligns with the bullish market sentiment.
RSI: The RSI is nearing overbought territory, which may signal caution for a potential pullback or consolidation, though it currently supports the bullish trend.
Fundamental Analysis Insight:
Brent Crude prices are buoyed by geopolitical tensions and supply concerns, which may sustain the bullish trend in the short term. The recent 4% weekly gain and the anticipated tightness in heavy oil supply globally also back the continued uptrend. Traders should monitor closely for any shifts in market sentiment due to upcoming economic data or geopolitical developments.
Disclaimer:Â These Gold & Oil Trading Signals are based on the current charts and market conditions. Always conduct your own analysis and consider risk management strategies before entering any trade. Markets are dynamic, and conditions can change rapidly.
As with all investments, your capital is at risk. Investments can fall and rise and you may get back less than you invested.