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Forex Signals & Market Insights: March 19- Intraday Focus

  • Dollar Strengthens: Increased inflows due to uncertainty before the Fed and dovish BOJ signals.

  • USD/JPY Reacts to BOJ Hike: BOJ rate increase weakens yen, USD/JPY surges, despite BOJ's accommodative outlook.

  • AUD/USD Falls: AUD drops after RBA maintains rates with less hawkish stance.

  • Dollar Nears High Pre-Fed: Dollar index rises ahead of Fed meeting, markets anticipate possible hawkish turn.

DXY Dollar Index, A financial chart depicting the with technical indicators including candlesticks, Bollinger Bands, Ichimoku Cloud, and volume bars. The chart also features an RSI indicator below, signalling recent market volatility.
🟢 Dollar Index

Forex Trade Signals

EUR/USD  GBP/USD  USD/JPY  USD/CHF  NZD/USD  AUD/USD USD/CAD  EUR/GBP  EUR/JPY EUR/CHF


EUR/USD A trading chart displaying the asset with two main indicators. The top panel shows Bollinger Bands overlaid on candlestick price action with a 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Below, two sub-panels present the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), respectively. The RSI is within the neutral range, neither overbought nor oversold. The MACD shows the signal line and the MACD line close together, indicating no strong momentum in either direction. The lower section of the image features a separate price action chart without indicators for comparison.
🟢 EUR/USD

Trading Signal for EUR/USD

  • Trade Direction: Sell

  • Entry Point: 1.0863

  • Take Profit: TP1: 1.0840, TP2: 1.0820, TP3: 1.0800

  • Stop Loss: 1.0891 (above yesterday's high)

  • Confidence Level: Moderate, based on the technical indicators and market sentiment.

Technical Analysis

  • Trend Analysis: Short-term trend appears to be bearish with a downward trajectory on the 4-hour chart.

  • Key Levels:

  • Resistance: Yesterday's high at 1.0909

  • Support: Daily pivot at 1.0882, Yesterday's low at 1.0866

Technical Indicators

  • Bollinger Bands: The price is operating near the lower band, suggesting bearish momentum.

  • Ichimoku Cloud: Price is below the cloud, indicating a bearish bias.

  • ATR: 0.00141, showing moderate volatility.

  • MACD: The MACD line is below the signal line, and histograms are showing bearish momentum.

  • RSI: At 36.51, suggesting bearish momentum without being oversold.

Market Sentiment

  • General Sentiment: Bearish, given the dollar's strength and anticipation of the Fed's decision.

  • Impact on Specific Asset: The EUR may continue to face downward pressure if the market leans towards a hawkish Fed outcome.

  • Notable Economic Events: Tomorrow’s Fed reserve decision is crucial; any hints of a hawkish stance could strengthen the dollar further.


Keep in mind, the Fed’s pending decision is creating uncertainty, and markets may be volatile. It is advisable to keep a close eye on any news releases and be prepared to adjust trades accordingly.


Trading Signal for GBP/USD

  • Trade Direction: Sell

  • Entry Point: 1.2708

  • Take Profit: TP1: 1.2680, TP2: 1.2650, TP3: 1.2620

  • Stop Loss: 1.2748 (just above yesterday's high)

  • Confidence Level: Moderate, considering the current technical setup and market sentiment.

Technical Analysis

  • Trend Analysis: The trend is not strongly defined, but the recent price action suggests a slight bearish bias.

  • Key Levels:

  • Resistance: Yesterday's high at 1.2748

  • Support: Daily pivot at 1.2731, Yesterday's low at 1.2718

Technical Indicators

  • Bollinger Bands: The price is in the middle range, which doesn't provide a strong directional signal, hence the moderate confidence.

  • Ichimoku Cloud: The price is within the cloud, which typically indicates indecision, but a move below the cloud could confirm bearish momentum.

  • ATR: 0.00202, suggesting moderate volatility, which supports the idea of a slight sell position with caution.

  • MACD: The MACD line is just below the signal line indicating bearish momentum, but the proximity suggests a weak trend.

  • RSI: At 36.54, it is leaning towards the oversold region but isn't there yet, which can support a slight sell position.

Market Sentiment

  • General Sentiment: Slightly bearish given the current forex market dynamics with the anticipation of a hawkish Fed potentially strengthening the dollar.

  • Impact on Specific Asset: The GBP/USD could continue to edge lower if the dollar gains on a hawkish Fed outcome.

  • Notable Economic Events: The Fed decision is highly anticipated and could induce volatility; therefore, caution is advised, and positions should be monitored closely.


The sell signal is tentative, given the lack of strong bearish indicators, so trade entries should be made with a tight stop loss to protect against potential reversals if the market reacts unexpectedly to the Fed decision.



Trading Signal for USD/JPY

  • Trade Direction: Buy

  • Entry Point: 150.420

  • Take Profit: TP1: 150.700, TP2: 151.000, TP3: 151.300

  • Stop Loss: 149.05 (below daily pivot and today's low)

  • Confidence Level: High, given the strong bullish momentum following the BOJ rate hike.

Technical Analysis

  • Trend Analysis: The long-term trend is bullish, and the recent rate hike by the BOJ has accelerated upward momentum.

  • Key Levels:

  • Resistance: Potential psychological levels at 151.00, 151.50.

  • Support: Daily pivot at 148.89, Today's low at 148.92.

Technical Indicators

  • Bollinger Bands: The price is above the upper band, signaling strong bullish momentum.

  • Ichimoku Cloud: Price is well above the cloud, confirming the bullish trend.

  • ATR: 0.408, which is relatively high, indicating strong volatility.

  • MACD: The MACD line is above the signal line and widening, showing increasing bullish strength.

  • RSI: At 68.65, the RSI is approaching overbought territory, which is a common feature in strong trends, but caution is advised as it indicates potential for a pullback.

Market Sentiment

  • General Sentiment: Bullish, especially with the recent BOJ rate hike causing a sell-off in the yen.

  • Impact on Specific Asset: USD/JPY has surged following the BOJ's decision, and the bullish sentiment is likely to continue in the short term.

  • Notable Economic Events: BOJ's rate hike is the primary driver; however, the upcoming Fed decision could add volatility.

The current market conditions and technical indicators suggest a strong bullish bias for the USD/JPY pair. However, given the high volatility and proximity to overbought conditions, the trade should be entered with caution, and the stop loss should be strictly adhered to in order to protect against any sudden reversals, particularly with the Fed decision pending and possible BOJ intervention.



Trading Signal for USD/CHF

  • Trade Direction: Buy

  • Entry Point: 0.8891

  • Take Profit: TP1: 0.8910, TP2: 0.8930, TP3: 0.8950

  • Stop Loss: 0.8862 (just below the daily pivot)

  • Confidence Level: High, based on the strong bullish signals from the technical indicators.

Technical Analysis

  • Trend Analysis: The pair has been on an uptrend, which is expected to continue given the current momentum.

  • Key Levels:

  • Resistance: Could face near-term resistance around 0.8900 psychological level.

  • Support: Daily pivot at 0.8862, followed by today's low at 0.8821.

Technical Indicators

  • Bollinger Bands: The price is pushing against the upper band, indicating continued bullish pressure.

  • Ichimoku Cloud: Price is above the cloud, which supports the bullish trend.

  • ATR: 0.00174, suggesting moderate volatility.

  • MACD: The MACD line is above the signal line and expanding, indicative of bullish momentum.

  • RSI: At 67.84, it’s in bullish territory but not yet overbought, allowing room for the upward movement.

Market Sentiment

  • General Sentiment: Bullish, with the dollar showing strength across the board, as seen with other pairs.

  • Impact on Specific Asset: USD/CHF is likely to continue its ascent, especially with the positive sentiment around the dollar.

  • Notable Economic Events: Pending Federal Reserve decisions could impact volatility and strength of USD.

The trade signal reflects the bullish outlook for the USD/CHF pair, with a buy position recommended at the current market price. The stop loss is set below the daily pivot and today's low, to mitigate risk from any sudden reversals or shifts in sentiment following the Fed's decision.



Trading Signal for NZD/USD

  • Trade Direction: Sell

  • Entry Point: 0.6050

  • Take Profit: TP1: 0.6030, TP2: 0.6010, TP3: 0.5990

  • Stop Loss: 0.6087 (above the daily pivot)

  • Confidence Level: High, based on the current technical indicators.

Technical Analysis

  • Trend Analysis: Short-term trend is bearish as indicated by recent price action.

  • Key Levels:

  • Resistance: Yesterday's high at 0.6101.

  • Support: Daily pivot at 0.6087; further support may be found near yesterday's low at 0.6077.

Technical Indicators

  • Bollinger Bands: Price is trending near the lower band, indicating bearish momentum.

  • Ichimoku Cloud: Price is below the Ichimoku Cloud, suggesting a bearish outlook.

  • ATR: 0.00160, which is relatively low, indicating a smaller range of trading volatility.

  • MACD: The MACD line is below the signal line and histograms are declining, signaling bearish momentum.

  • RSI: At 28.59, indicates the market is oversold, which often precedes a reversal. However, in strong trends, the RSI can remain oversold for extended periods.

Market Sentiment

  • General Sentiment: Bearish, as the NZD has weakened against the USD amid broad USD strength.

  • Impact on Specific Asset: The NZD/USD is likely to continue its downward trajectory in the short term.

  • Notable Economic Events: No immediate NZD-specific events, but the USD may react to the upcoming Fed decision, potentially impacting the pair.

The recommendation to sell NZD/USD is based on the strong bearish indicators; however, due caution should be taken due to the oversold RSI reading, which sometimes can lead to sharp reversals. The stop loss is placed just above the daily pivot to manage risk effectively.



Trading Signal for AUD/USD

  • Trade Direction: Sell

  • Entry Point: Current market price (around 0.6560)

  • Take Profit: TP1: 0.6540, TP2: 0.6520, TP3: 0.6500

  • Stop Loss: 0.6575 (above yesterday's high)

  • Confidence Level: Moderate to high, reinforced by the RBA's less hawkish stance and current market sentiment.

Technical Analysis

  • Trend Analysis: Short-term trend is bearish with a recent downward momentum.

  • Key Levels:

  • Resistance: Yesterday's high at 0.6575.

  • Support: Daily pivot at 0.6562, followed by yesterday's low at 0.6550.

Technical Indicators

  • Bollinger Bands: Price is near the lower band, suggesting bearish momentum may continue.

  • Ichimoku Cloud: Price is below the cloud, indicating bearish bias.

  • ATR: 0.00169, moderate volatility.

  • MACD: The MACD line is below the signal line, which supports a bearish move.

  • RSI: At 25.37, signals an oversold market, which can sometimes precede a reversal; this should be watched carefully.

Market Sentiment

  • General Sentiment: Bearish on the AUD due to the RBA's stance and the broader market anticipation of a potentially hawkish Fed decision.

  • Impact on Specific Asset: The AUD is likely to remain under pressure against the USD if the Fed hints at a hawkish stance.

  • Notable Economic Events: The RBA's recent decision and upcoming Fed meeting are the key events to watch.


The sell signal is based on technical indicators and the market's anticipation of a hawkish Fed, which could strengthen the USD. However, traders should be cautious and monitor the position closely due to the RSI indicating an oversold condition that may result in price consolidation or a short-term reversal.


Trading Signal for USD/CAD

  • Trade Direction: Buy

  • Entry Point: 1.3565

  • Take Profit: TP1: 1.3580, TP2: 1.3600, TP3: 1.3620

  • Stop Loss: 1.3536 (below the daily pivot)

  • Confidence Level: Moderate to high, due to the upward trend and current price above the pivot.

Technical Analysis

  • Trend Analysis: Mild uptrend with the price currently above the pivot point.

  • Key Levels:

  • Resistance: The next resistance could be expected around the 1.3600 psychological level.

  • Support: Daily pivot at 1.3536, and today's low at 1.3520 could act as support levels.

Technical Indicators

  • Bollinger Bands: The price is near the upper band, which may signal overextension in the short term.

  • Ichimoku Cloud: Price above the cloud suggests bullish sentiment is maintained.

  • ATR: 0.00203, showing moderate volatility in the market.

  • MACD: MACD line is above the signal line, indicating bullish momentum.

  • RSI: Currently at 60.57, indicating some buying pressure but not excessively overbought.

Market Sentiment

  • General Sentiment: The market seems to be favoring the USD over CAD, potentially due to expectations of a hawkish Federal Reserve.

  • Impact on Specific Asset: The USD/CAD may continue to experience upward pressure if the USD's strength persists.

  • Notable Economic Events: With the Fed's decision on the horizon, volatility is to be expected, and any shifts in policy could significantly affect the pair.


Given that the current price is above the pivot point, the confidence in a bullish continuation is supported by technical indicators. However, it is important to monitor the stop loss at the daily pivot to protect against any sudden market changes resulting from the Fed's decision.



Trading Signal for EUR/GBP

  • Trade Direction: Buy

  • Entry Point: 0.8541 (current market price)

  • Take Profit: TP1: 0.8560, TP2: 0.8580, TP3: 0.8600

  • Stop Loss: 0.8538 (just below today's low)

  • Confidence Level: Moderate, the proximity to the pivot point suggests a cautious approach.

Technical Analysis

  • Trend Analysis: The pair has shown some consolidation, with a potential for an upside breakout.

  • Key Levels:

  • Resistance: Yesterday's high at 0.8565.

  • Support: Daily pivot at 0.8548, and today's low at 0.8538.

Technical Indicators

  • Bollinger Bands: The price is between the middle and upper bands, not indicating a clear direction.

  • Ichimoku Cloud: The price is above the cloud, suggesting bullish potential.

  • ATR: 0.00100, indicating lower volatility.

  • MACD: The MACD line is above the signal line, showing potential for further upside.

  • RSI: At around 52, it is in the neutral zone, neither overbought nor oversold.

Market Sentiment

  • General Sentiment: Mixed, as the market assesses the impact of recent economic events and statements from both the ECB and the Bank of England.

  • Impact on Specific Asset: Any significant shifts in sentiment or policy could influence the direction of EUR/GBP.

  • Notable Economic Events: Investors are looking ahead to upcoming economic releases and central bank announcements for direction.

Given the technical indicators and the current market price above the daily pivot point, a moderate buy signal is suggested for EUR/GBP. The stop loss is set just below today's low to limit potential downside risk.


EURJPY"Chart showing a currency pair's performance with candlestick patterns over a year, indicating trends, volatility, and potential trading opportunities in the forex market."
EUR/JPY

Trading Signal for EUR/JPY

  • Trade Direction: Buy

  • Entry Point: 163.459

  • Take Profit: TP1: 163.700, TP2: 164.000, TP3: 164.300

  • Stop Loss: 162.120 (below the daily pivot)

  • Confidence Level: High, considering the BOJ's rate decision impact and the significant price move past the pivot.

Technical Analysis

  • Trend Analysis: The price surge suggests a strong bullish trend.

  • Key Levels:

  • Resistance: Could face near-term resistance around 164.000.

  • Support: Daily pivot at 162.120, and further support at today’s low of 161.950.

Technical Indicators

  • Bollinger Bands: Price is likely above the upper band, indicating strong momentum.

  • Ichimoku Cloud: Price above the cloud would confirm a bullish stance.

  • ATR: An increased ATR would suggest higher volatility, which is expected after a rate decision.

  • MACD: A rising MACD above the signal line supports the buy decision.

  • RSI: If not yet in the overbought territory, it would indicate potential for further upside.

Market Sentiment

  • General Sentiment: Very bullish, particularly after the BOJ's rate decision.

  • Impact on Specific Asset: Such central bank decisions can cause significant price movements, confirming the bullish signal for EUR/JPY.

  • Notable Economic Events: BOJ’s rate decision is likely to have already caused volatility, with potential continuation as markets digest the news.


Given the substantial price move past the daily pivot due to the BOJ's rate decision, a buy signal is supported. The trade aims to capitalize on the momentum, with a stop loss set at the daily pivot to protect the position from any potential reversal in the current volatile environment.


EUR/CHF "Chart showing a currency pair's performance with candlestick patterns over a year, indicating trends, volatility, and potential trading opportunities in the forex market."
EUR/CHF

Trading Signal for EUR/CHF

  • Trade Direction: Buy

  • Entry Point: 0.9620

  • Take Profit:

  • TP1: 0.9640

  • TP2: 0.9660

  • TP3: 0.9680 (considering the recent high and psychological resistance levels)

  • Stop Loss: 0.9600 (below the daily pivot and recent support levels)

  • Confidence Level: Moderate, aligning with the bullish momentum indicated by the technical analysis.

Technical Analysis

  • Trend Analysis: The trend is generally neutral but with a slight bullish bias as the price is above the Ichimoku Cloud.

  • Key Levels:

  • Resistance: Friday's high at 0.9634

  • Support: Daily pivot at 0.9619, with an additional support level at Friday's low of 0.9606

Technical Indicators

  • Bollinger Bands: The price is between the middle and upper band, indicating a possible continuation of the upward movement.

  • Ichimoku Cloud: The price is above the Cloud, suggesting bullish potential.

  • ATR: 0.00134, which suggests a lower level of volatility.

  • MACD: The MACD line is above the signal line, although both are near zero, indicating a slight bullish momentum.

  • RSI: Near 60, suggesting some bullish momentum without being overbought.

Market Sentiment

  • General Sentiment: Neutral to slightly bullish, with the market potentially responding to broader Eurozone sentiment and Swiss economic indicators.

  • Impact on Specific Asset: The EUR/CHF pair could be influenced by shifts in risk sentiment and policy updates from the European Central Bank or Swiss National Bank.

  • Notable Economic Events: The upcoming Fed meeting could affect global currency markets, including EUR/CHF, with any unexpected changes in policy likely to cause fluctuations.

 

Disclaimer: These Forex Trade Signals are based on the current charts and market conditions. Always conduct your own analysis and consider risk management strategies before entering any trade. Markets are dynamic, and conditions can change rapidly.


As with all investments, your capital is at risk. Investments can fall and rise and you may get back less than you invested.


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Forex signals, comments and analysis created and reflect the views forex368.com at any given time and are subject to change at any time. ©2024 by forex368.com.


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