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Technical Analysis: Your Daily Dose of Market Insights, June 27, 2023

Morning Update:

- The US dollar remains stable amid Russia tension and anticipation of key US data impacting interest rates.

Stock market opens positively, but Nasdaq 100 continues to slide as tech stocks face profit-taking.

- Traders adjusting rate cut expectations following Fed Chair Jerome Powell's comments on possible rate increases.

- Political strife in Russia has minimal impact on market sentiment, analysts say.

- Investors await Q2 earnings releases and Federal Reserve guidance, particularly on the possibility of a July rate hike.

- Asian markets cautious amid interest rate outlook and risks associated with China's economic recovery and Russian developments.

- S&P Global revises China's 2023 growth forecast to 5.2% from 5.5%, reflecting uneven recovery.

- Yen remains around 143.40 against the dollar, raising concerns for officials in Tokyo.

- Modest gains seen in U.S. crude, Brent, and spot gold; dollar index edges up; U.S. Treasury yields steady.


Key Events today.

  • ECB President Lagarde Speaks

  • CAD CPI m/m

  • US new home sales, durable goods, Conference Board consumer confidence.



Dollar Index (DXY) Intraday: Bearish


Pivot Level: 102.71


Our Suggestion:

If DXY falls below 102.71, consider short positions, targeting 102.59, 102.49, and 102.37.


Alternative Scenario:

If DXY remains above 102.71, consider long positions, targeting 102.81, 102.93, and 103.03.


Comment:

Based on the 4hr chart analysis, our bias for Dollar Index (DXY) remains bearish. The current price is heading into the Ichimoku in a downtrend. The RSI suggests further bearish momentum.

Dollar index DXY,  Bar chart showing forex and commodities prices, green/red candles depict daily trading trends. Includes moving average, Bollinger bands, and RSI.

Gold Intraday: Bearish


Pivot Level: 1925.32


Our Suggestion:

If XAU/USD falls below 1925.32, consider short positions, targeting 1917.45, 1912.54, and 1904.67.


Alternative Scenario:

If XAU/USD heads above 1925.32, consider long positions, targeting 1930.23, 1938.10, and 1943.01.


Comment:

Based on the 4hr chart analysis, our overall bias for Gold (XAU/USD) turns bearish as the current price is just below the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a downtrend. The RSI suggests is neutral.

Gold, XAU/USD  Bar chart showing forex and commodities prices, green/red candles depict daily trading trends. Includes moving average, Bollinger bands, and RSI.

USD/JPY Intraday: Bearish.


Pivot: 143.39


Our Suggestion:

Short positions below 143.39, with targets at 143.06, 142.62, and 142.29.


Alternative Scenario:

Long positions above 143.39, with targets at 143.83, 144.16, and 144.60.


Comment:

Based on the 4hr chart, our USD/JPY analysis turns bearish. The price is ranging in a slight downward trend. The RSI also suggests current sideways momentum.

USD/JPY  Bar chart showing forex and commodities prices, green/red candles depict daily trading trends. Includes moving average, Bollinger bands, and RSI.

AUD/USD Intraday: Bullish


Pivot: 0.6679


Our Suggestion:

Long positions above 0.6679, with targets at 0.6692, 0.6708, and 0.6721.


Alternative Scenario:

Short positions below 0.6679, with targets at 0.6663, 0.6650, and 0.6634.


Comment:

Our analysis of the 4hr chart indicates a bullish bias for AUD/USD. The current price is heading into the Ichimoku cloud in an uptrend. The RSI indicator confirms a current rebound with upward momentum.

AUD/USD  Bar chart showing forex and commodities prices, green/red candles depict daily trading trends. Includes moving average, Bollinger bands, and RSI.

Crude Oil (WTI)‎ Intraday: Bullish


Pivot: 69.40

Our Suggestion:

Long positions above the pivot level of 69.40, targeting 70.02, 70.67, and 71.29 as targets.


Alternative Scenario:

Short positions below 69.40, with targets at 68.75, 68.13, and 67.48 in extension.


Comment:

Our analysis of the 4hr Chart indicates a bullish bias for Crude Oil (WTI.) The current price has moved into the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a buying trend. The RSI reinforces our forecast showing continued upward momentum. *Saudi/China

WTI Crude Oil,  Bar chart showing forex and commodities prices, green/red candles depict daily trading trends. Includes moving average, Bollinger bands, and RSI.

USD/CAD Intraday: bearish


Pivot: 1.3170


Our Suggestion:

Below 1.3170, look for further downside with 1.3123 & 1.3090 and 1.3043 as targets.


Alternative scenario:

Long positions above 1.3170, with targets at 1.3203 & 1.3250 and 1.3283 in extension.


Comment:

Our analysis of the 4hr chart suggests a bearish bias for USD/CAD. The current price remains below the the Ichimoku cloud in a downtrend. The RSI indicator enforces our sentiment showing downward momentum.

USD/CAD  Bar chart showing forex and commodities prices, green/red candles depict daily trading trends. Includes moving average, Bollinger bands, and RSI.

USD/CAD  Bar chart showing forex and commodities prices, green/red candles depict daily trading trends. Includes moving average, Bollinger bands, and RSI.
Weekly Chart to highlight longer trend

EUR/USD Intraday: Bullish bias ( Ranging)


Pivot: 1.091


Our Suggestion:

Long positions above 1.091, with targets at 1.093 & 1.096 and 1.098 in extension.


Alternative scenario:

Below 1.091, look for further downside with 1.089 & 1.086 and 1.084 as targets.


Comment:

Based on our analysis of the 4hr chart, the bias for EUR/USD turns bullish as the current price is heading above the Ichimoku cloud. The RSI indicator suggest while it is possible that the current consolidation may continue, its extent should be limited.

EUR/USD  Bar chart showing forex and commodities prices, green/red candles depict daily trading trends. Includes moving average, Bollinger bands, and RSI.

GBP/USD Intraday: Bullish


Pivot: 1.272


Our Suggestion:

Long positions above 1.272, with targets at 1.275 & 1.278 and 1.281 in extension.


Alternative scenario:

Below 1.272, look for further downside with 1.268 & 1.266 and 1.262 as targets.


Comment:

Our analysis of the 4hr chart indicates a bullish bias for GBP/USD. The price remains above the Ichimoku cloud and is consolidating in a tight range. The RSI indicator confirms while it is possible that the current consolidation may continue, its extent should be limited.

GBP/USD  Bar chart showing forex and commodities prices, green/red candles depict daily trading trends. Includes moving average, Bollinger bands, and RSI.

EUR/GBP Intraday: Bearish


Pivot: 0.8575


Our Suggestion:

Short positions below 0.8575, with targets at 0.8548, 0.8515, and 0.8488.


Alternative Scenario:

Long positions above 0.8575, with targets at 0.8608, 0.8635, and 0.8668.


Comment:

Our analysis of the 4hr chart indicates a bearish bias for EUR/GBP. The current price remains below the Ichimoku cloud indicating a downtrend. The RSI indicator shows while it is possible that the current consolidation may continue, its extent should be limited.

EUR/GBP  Bar chart showing forex and commodities prices, green/red candles depict daily trading trends. Includes moving average, Bollinger bands, and RSI.

Nasdaq 100 Intraday: Bearish


Pivot:

14,786.00

Our Suggestion:

Below 14,786.00, look for further downside with 14,589.00 ,14,490.00 and 14293.00 as targets.


Alternative scenario:

Long positions above 14,786.00, with targets at 14,885.00 ,15,08200 and 15,181.00 in extension.


Comment:

Our analysis of the 4hr chart indicates a bearish bias for the Nasdaq 100. The current price is now below the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a downtrend. The RSI confirms downside momentum.

Nasdaq 100 stock index  Bar chart showing forex and commodities prices, green/red candles depict daily trading trends. Includes moving average, Bollinger bands, and RSI.

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The information provided does not constitute, in any way, a solicitation or inducement to buy or sell securities and similar products. Comments and analysis reflect the views of Chump Profit at any given time and are subject to change at any time. Moreover, they cannot constitute a commitment or guarantee on the part of Chump Profit. The recipient acknowledges and agrees that by their very nature any investment in a financial instrument is of a random nature and therefore any such investment constitutes a risky investment for which the recipient is solely responsible. ©2023 by Chump Profit.




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