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Today's Forex Signals: Technical Analysis : January 4, 2024

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  • Dollar Nears Three-Week High: Anticipations of less aggressive rate cuts strengthen the dollar.

  • Fed Meeting Minutes Reveal: No clear indications of when U.S. rate cuts might commence.

  • Fed's Policy Path Uncertain: Recent minutes suggest a cautious approach to rate cuts.

  • Market Adjusts Rate Cut Expectations: Likelihood of a Fed rate cut in March drops from 90% to 70%.

  • Goldman Sachs Predicts Rate Cuts: Analysts expect the first rate cut in March, with a total of five cuts throughout the year.

  • U.S. Labour Market Focus: Upcoming nonfarm payrolls report to shed light on labour market status.

  • U.S. Job Openings Slightly Decrease: November sees a drop of 62,000 job openings, marking the third consecutive month of decline.

  • Strong Start for the Dollar: Dollar index rises to near three-week high, strong against major currencies.

  • Oil Prices Edge Higher: U.S. crude and Brent crude see slight increases amid Middle East tensions and disruptions in Libya's oilfield.


DXY Dollar Index, A financial chart depicting the with technical indicators including candlesticks, Bollinger Bands, Ichimoku Cloud, and volume bars. The chart also features an RSI indicator below, signalling recent market volatility.
Dollar Index

Forex Focus: Intraday Technical Signals


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Intraday Forex Signals for Gold (XAUUSD) - January 4, 2024


🔍 Analysis Overview: Gold continues its trajectory within a bullish framework, as evidenced by the pivot analysis and technical indicators. With a pivot point established at 2046.61, there is a strong foundation for today's trading trajectory to build upon.


Trade Direction: BULLISH


Trade Probability: 70%


Yesterday's Trend: Yesterday's movement in Gold illustrated a bullish tendency, remaining above the pivot level and closing in proximity to the day's peak. This pattern suggests a possible persistence of the uptrend.


Pivot Point: 2046.61


Indicators:

  • Volatility: There is a moderate increase in volatility, as suggested by the broadening Bollinger Bands.

  • Moving Average (MA): Gold is positioned above the 20-day Moving Average, indicating a bullish trend.

  • Ichimoku: The price resides above the Ichimoku cloud, reinforcing the bullish market sentiment.

  • RSI: The Relative Strength Index is near the mid-range, suggesting a balance in buying and selling pressure.

  • Bollinger Bands: The price is grazing the upper Bollinger Band, hinting at a potential breakout to the upside.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

Buy:

  • 1st Resistance target: 2062.26

  • 2nd Resistance target: 2081.56

  • 3rd Resistance target: 2097.21


Stop Loss Guidelines:

Buy: Position the stop loss just under the 1st Support level at 2027.31 to curtail possible losses.


Suggestion: Considering the bullish indicators and the position above the pivot point, it is advisable to initiate a long position with the first resistance level of 2062.26 as the initial target, and a stop loss set below the first support level to mitigate risk.



Intraday Forex Signals for WTI Oil - January 4, 2024


🔍 Analysis Overview: WTI Oil navigates through a critical junction as market participants evaluate key pivot levels. With a pivot point at 72.03, today's session could affirm the directional sentiment for the commodity.


Trade Direction: BULLISH


Trade Probability: 65%


Yesterday's Trend: WTI Oil's previous session concluded with a stable footing, maintaining levels above the pivot, suggesting an underlying bullish sentiment.


Pivot Point: 72.03


Indicators:

  • Volatility: A slight uptick is observable, potentially leading to price expansions, as suggested by the current Bollinger Bands positioning.

  • Moving Average (MA): WTI is trading above the short-term Moving Averages, endorsing a BULLISH outlook.

  • Ichimoku: Price hovering above the Ichimoku cloud, signifying a sustained bullish trend.

  • RSI: The RSI is trending above the median line, reflecting growing bullish momentum without being in the overbought territory.

  • Bollinger Bands: The price is testing the upper Bollinger Band, indicating a potential for continued upward movement.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

Buy:

  • 1st Resistance target: 73.57

  • 2nd Resistance target: 74.44

  • 3rd Resistance target: 75.98


Stop Loss Guidelines:

Buy: Set the stop loss near the 1st Support level at 71.16 to limit exposure to sudden downward shifts.


Suggestion: Given the bullish indicators and current positioning above the pivot point, entering a long position may be favorable, aiming for the first resistance as an initial profit target, with a stop loss set just below the first support level to safeguard the trade.


Promotional banner for Vantage Markets highlighting oil trading with a clickable 'Trade Now' button. It features oil barrels against a backdrop of fluctuating market graphs, inviting users to explore oil trading, referred to as 'Black Gold'. The company's logo and risk disclaimer are at the bottom.



Intraday Forex Signals for EUR/USD - January 4, 2024


🔍 Analysis Overview: The EUR/USD pair is navigating a delicate balance within the forex market, poised at a pivot point that could dictate the session's direction. The pivot analysis shows a solid baseline for potential price movement.


Trade Direction: NEUTRAL to BULLISH


Trade Probability: 60%


Yesterday's Trend: The EUR/USD pair experienced a consolidation phase, with a slight bias towards the upside, indicating a tentative bullish sentiment could be setting in.


Pivot Point: 1.093


Indicators:

  • Volatility: Showing moderate activity, with potential for expansion, indicated by the Bollinger Bands on the daily chart.

  • Moving Average (MA): The pair is oscillating around the 20-day Moving Average, suggesting a neutral stance with potential bullish undertones.

  • Ichimoku: The price is just above the Ichimoku cloud, which could hint at a bullish trend forming.

  • RSI: The Relative Strength Index is trending just above 50, suggesting a balanced market with potential for upward movement.

  • Bollinger Bands: The price is currently near the middle Bollinger Band, indicating no significant breakouts yet.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

Buy:

  • 1st Resistance target: 1.096

  • 2nd Resistance target: 1.100

  • 3rd Resistance target: 1.103


Stop Loss Guidelines:

Buy: Set the stop loss just below the 1st Support level at 1.089 to minimize risk.


Suggestion: Given the current neutral to bullish indicators and the price's position in relation to the pivot point, initiating a cautious long position could be considered. The first resistance level at 1.096 serves as the initial target, with a stop loss placed below the first support level to protect the trade.



Intraday Forex Signals for GBP/USD - January 4, 2024


🔍 Analysis Overview: GBP/USD shows a steady hold on its current pattern, with the day's pivot point offering a potential fulcrum for directional movement. The technical indicators provide a glimpse into the potential for today's price action.


Trade Direction: BULLISH


Trade Probability: 65%


Yesterday's Trend: The Pound displayed a resilient character against the Dollar, closing just above the pivot level, which might suggest a bullish intent in the market.


Pivot Point: 1.265


Indicators:

  • Volatility: Appears to be moderately increasing, which may suggest more pronounced moves if a breakout occurs.

  • Moving Average (MA): Trading above a key Moving Average, signaling a BULLISH trend.

  • Ichimoku: The price is slightly above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating potential bullish momentum.

  • RSI: Resting above the mid-line, pointing to a more bullish momentum than bearish.

  • Bollinger Bands: The price is testing the upper middle band, potentially indicating a stable uptrend.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

Buy:

  • 1st Resistance target: 1.269

  • 2nd Resistance target: 1.271

  • 3rd Resistance target: 1.275


Stop Loss Guidelines:

Buy: Set a stop loss just below the 1st Support level at 1.263 to reduce risk.


Suggestion: Considering the bullish indicators and the price's position just above the pivot, a long position may be favorable, with the first resistance level of 1.269 as the initial target. A stop loss set below the first support level could safeguard the position against unexpected downward movements.



Intraday Forex Signals for USD/JPY - January 4, 2024


🔍 Analysis Overview: The USD/JPY pair presents a crucial testing ground at its current pivot point, potentially guiding the day's price action. The technical setup gives a clear view of what to expect in today's trading.


Trade Direction: BULLISH


Trade Probability: 68%


Yesterday's Trend: The USD/JPY pair ended the previous day with a firm stance above the pivot level, hinting at bullish potential going forward.


Pivot Point: 142.957


Indicators:

- Volatility: Slightly elevated, indicating a more dynamic market condition that could lead to significant price movements.

- Moving Average (MA): The pair is trading above significant Moving Averages, suggesting a BULLISH trend.

- Ichimoku: The price is just above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating possible bullish momentum.

- RSI: Positioned above 50, showing neither overbought nor oversold conditions, implying room for an upside.

- Bollinger Bands: The price is hugging the upper middle band, signaling an established uptrend.

🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:


Buy:

- 1st Resistance target: 144.053

- 2nd Resistance target: 144.827

- 3rd Resistance target: 145.923


Stop Loss Guidelines:

Buy: Set a stop loss at the 1st Support level of 142.183 to protect the trade from any adverse movement.


Suggestion: With bullish indicators and the pair's position relative to the pivot point, a long position could be considered. The first resistance level of 144.053 serves as the initial profit target, with a stop loss set below the first support level to minimize potential losses.



Intraday Forex Signals for USD/CHF - January 4, 2024


🔍 Analysis Overview: The USD/CHF pair is currently situated at a pivot point that will likely influence the day's trading direction. The technical indicators suggest a potential path for the pair's movement.


Trade Direction: BEARISH


Trade Probability: 62%


Yesterday's Trend: The pair showed a downtrend yesterday, closing below the pivot point, indicating bearish pressure that could continue into today's session.


Pivot Point: 0.851


Indicators:

- Volatility: There is moderate volatility in the market, which may lead to significant price movements.

- Moving Average (MA): The pair is currently trading below the key Moving Averages, indicating a BEARISH trend.

- Ichimoku: The price is below the Ichimoku cloud, which typically signals a bearish trend.

- RSI: The RSI is below the mid-point of 50, suggesting bearish momentum.

- Bollinger Bands: The price is testing the lower Bollinger Band, which often indicates a continuation of the downtrend.

🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:


Sell:

- 1st Support target: 0.847

- 2nd Support target: 0.844

- 3rd Support target: 0.840


Stop Loss Guidelines:

Sell: Set a stop loss just above the 1st Resistance level at 0.854 to protect the trade from an adverse upward movement.


Suggestion: Given the bearish indicators and the price's position relative to the pivot point, a short position may be considered, targeting the first support level of 0.847, with a stop loss placed just above the first resistance level to manage risk effectively.



Intraday Forex Signals for NZD/USD - January 4, 2024


🔍 Analysis Overview: The NZD/USD pair is positioned at a pivotal level which may determine the trend for today's session. The technical indicators are signaling potential movements that traders should be aware of.


Trade Direction: BULLISH


Trade Probability: 64%


Yesterday's Trend: The pair showed signs of bullish momentum, finishing above the pivot point, which may indicate an upward trend continuation for today.


Pivot Point: 0.6248


Indicators:

- Volatility: Slightly increased, suggesting the possibility of a more active market and larger price swings.

- Moving Average (MA): The pair is trading around the Moving Average, indicating a potential change in trend direction.

- Ichimoku: The price is currently near the Ichimoku cloud, suggesting a potential for either a bullish breakout or consolidation.

- RSI: The RSI is just around 50, signifying a balanced level of buying and selling pressure.

- Bollinger Bands: The price is near the middle band, suggesting that the pair is in a phase of equilibrium between the buyers and sellers.

🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:


Buy:

- 1st Resistance target: 0.6275

- 2nd Resistance target: 0.6305

- 3rd Resistance target: 0.6332

Stop Loss Guidelines:


Buy: Set a stop loss just below the 1st Support level at 0.6218 to minimize potential losses.


Suggestion: Given the current indicators and the proximity to the pivot point, a long position could be initiated with the aim of reaching the first resistance target, while maintaining a stop loss below the first support level to protect the trade.



Intraday Forex Signals for AUD/USD - January 4, 2024


🔍 Analysis Overview: The AUD/USD pair is teetering around its pivot point, with market forces poised to dictate the direction. The current technical landscape offers insights into potential trading strategies for the day.


Trade Direction: BULLISH


Trade Probability: 66%


Yesterday's Trend: The AUD/USD pair displayed some resilience, ending the session around the pivot point, which might suggest a potential for upward price movement.


Pivot Point: 0.6248


Indicators:

- Volatility: Moderately high, indicating the potential for more significant price fluctuations.

- Moving Average (MA): The pair is trading at the Moving Average level, which can often act as a dynamic support or resistance.

- Ichimoku: Price is near the Ichimoku cloud, which may imply a bullish breakout if it stays above the cloud.

- RSI: The RSI is hovering around the midline, indicating a balance in the market but with a slight inclination towards bullish momentum.

- Bollinger Bands: The price is between the middle and upper bands, indicating a stable but cautious uptrend.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

Buy:

- 1st Resistance target: 0.6275

- 2nd Resistance target: 0.6305

- 3rd Resistance target: 0.6332


Stop Loss Guidelines:

Buy: A stop loss could be placed just below the 1st Support level at 0.6218 to mitigate risk.


Suggestion: With the current indicators pointing to a cautious bullish trend, initiating a long position could be considered. The trade could target the first resistance level, with a stop loss placed slightly below the first support level to protect against potential downside movements.



Intraday Forex Signals for USD/CAD - January 4, 2024


🔍 Analysis Overview: The USD/CAD pair is situated at a critical juncture as indicated by its pivot point. The chart and technical indicators will provide the necessary information for potential trades today.


Trade Direction: BEARISH


Trade Probability: 63%


Yesterday's Trend: The pair exhibited a downtrend, closing below the pivot point, suggesting the bearish momentum might extend into today's market.


Pivot Point: 1.3349


Indicators:

- Volatility: The market is showing moderate volatility, indicating potential for notable price movements.

- Moving Average (MA): The pair is below the key Moving Averages, pointing towards a BEARISH trend.

- Ichimoku: Price is beneath the Ichimoku cloud, which could signal continued bearishness.

- RSI: The RSI is below 50, indicating bearish momentum.

- Bollinger Bands: The price is closer to the lower band, suggesting that the bearish trend is still in play.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

Sell:

- 1st Support target: 1.3322

- 2nd Support target: 1.3291

- 3rd Support target: 1.3264


Stop Loss Guidelines:

Sell: Position the stop loss just above the 1st Resistance level at 1.3380 to manage risk effectively.


Suggestion: Given the bearish indicators, considering a short position could be advantageous, aiming for the first support level as an initial target. A stop loss should be placed just above the first resistance level to safeguard against any sudden upward price movement.



Intraday Forex Signals for EUR/GBP - January 4, 2024


🔍 Analysis Overview: The EUR/GBP pair shows its readiness to respond to the market's signals, with the pivot point analysis providing insights into possible directions for the day.


Trade Direction: NEUTRAL to BULLISH


Trade Probability: 58%


Yesterday's Trend: The pair ended the session near the pivot point, indicating indecision but with potential for a bullish push given the right market stimuli.


Pivot Point: 0.864


Indicators:

- Volatility: Moderate, suggesting a potential for decisive movements if market sentiment becomes clear.

- Moving Average (MA): The pair is near the Moving Average, suggesting potential for a trend confirmation or reversal.

- Ichimoku: Price is close to the Ichimoku cloud, suggesting a possibility of bullish momentum if it remains above the cloud.

- RSI: Near the 50 mark, which could imply an upcoming trend decision.

- Bollinger Bands: The price is in the middle of the bands, representing a neutral market but with a lean towards bullishness as it is on the upper side of the middle band.


🎯 Targets for Taking Profits:

Buy:

- 1st Resistance target: 0.866

- 2nd Resistance target: 0.870

- 3rd Resistance target: 0.873


Stop Loss Guidelines:

Buy: A stop loss could be placed just below the 1st Support level at 0.860 to limit risk.


Suggestion: Considering the slight bullish indicators and the current price's proximity to the pivot point, a cautious long position could be considered. Traders might aim for the first resistance target, securing the position with a stop loss marginally below the first support level.

 

Disclaimer: These trading signals is based on the current chart and market conditions. Always conduct your own analysis and consider risk management strategies before entering any trade. Markets are dynamic, and conditions can change rapidly.


As with all investments, your capital is at risk. Investments can fall and rise and you may get back less than you invested.



The information provided does not constitute, in any way, a solicitation or inducement to buy or sell securities and similar products.



Forex signals, comments and analysis reflect the views of www.champprofit.com at any given time and are subject to change at any time. ©2024 by Champ Profit.



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